Jax @ Houston tonight


Slaton might be the key to Houston taking the Jaguars tonight, this from ESPN;
''The disappointing Jaguars are slight underdogs at Houston because the defense cannot stop Steve Slaton. Slaton has a 39 percent chance of rushing for over 90 yards and he is averaging over 5 ypc.''

Looking at the Texans, decent QB, excellent WRs, a very good RB, Houston will score. Jax's vaunted D never materialised this year however they themselves also have a few weapons they can score points with.

The scoring statistics for both this season to date (per game):
  • Jax scoring: 20.3
  • Jax conceding: 21.8
  • Jax game avg: 21
  • Hou scoring: 22.9
  • Hou conceding: 26.6
  • Hou game avg: 24.7
The over is 48 which is a little bit high actually as there would have to be one more touchdown than usual in games with these two playing, but perhaps the fact they have nothing at all to play for will open the game, the field up and allow for a few more points. This is in effect an NFL scrimmage game.

Both teams have nothing to play for, so Houston's home field advantage becomes bigger too

Check out Houston's home win streak they put together a few weeks ago, these are consecutive weeks, not a typo, although the weakness of the three opponents can't be ignored (bar Miami, I suppose)

  • CIN W 35-6
  • DET W 28-21
  • MIA W 29-28

While the Jaguars are probably the better squad in terms of sheer talent, Houston are no mugs themselves. Neither team have anything to play for, with the Jaguars travelling to Houston with the disappointment of a hugely underachieving season weighing heavily around their necks. Houston might have the only incentive to preform tonight, playing in front of their home town fans.

Gun to head, either Houston or the over