So shall we just ignore due process and go ahead and enshrine Little Timmy Tebow in Canton now? We may as well, right? I mean, he has won three games in a row! Get that guy his bust already! Who cares if he has a lower QB rating than Ryan Leaf ever managed?! Who cares if the Denver wide-receivers are about to revolt?! Who cares if Tebow led one good drive against the Jets last night?! In his three game winning streak Tebow and his mates have beaten Oakland, Kansas and the Jets of New York. Consider that McFadden was out for Oakland, pretty much everyone was out for Kansas, and the Jets were playing without a running back or anything resembling an NFL QB. The one game Tebow played against a decent NFL squad, he was crushed 10-45 by the Lions.
A bit of sanity amongst the wildly hyperbolic morning headlines would be nice. However, one muses we shall be waiting a while before this ridiculous fad wears out.
Thankfully we have plenty of quality NFL games coming this weekend, with, you know, teams that actually matter (Harsh? Let’s see how Tebow and his pals do against the Chargers, Patriots, Chicago and Buffalo).
Running total - 75-68 ATS
Week by week links at foot of column
Essential NFL pick links
- The Sports Guy (Bill Simmons)
- CNNSI Peter King weekly picks
- USA Today - Jon Saraceno
- USA Today - All staff picks
- ESPN expert picks
More column inches than passing yards
Week eleven Buffalo Bills (5-4) at Miami Dolphins (2-7) -2.5
The Bills have had two tough weeks against two tough teams, the Jets and Cowboys. Miami has feasted at the table of plenty against Kansas and Washington. This week we see a market correction.
The score: Buffalo 28 Miami 24
The pick: Buffalo +2.5
Cincinnati Bengals (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3) -7.5
Hey let's not puke all over the Bengals season just yet. Remember, before a pretty close, well contested loss to the Steelers, The Bungles were riding a tasty five game win streak. This is too many points for a wildly inconsistent Ravens to give up.
The score: Cincinnati 24 Baltimore 27
The pick: Cincinnati +7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-6) +0.5
Hey check this out. The worst passing team in the NFL (The Jaguars rank 32nd) against the worst passing defence in the NFL (Cleveland rank 1st in passing yards allowed)! The Jaguars have two decent wins in their last three. The Brownies? They aint got much in their last anything.
The score: Jacksonville 20 Cleveland 13
The Pick: Jacksonville -0.5
Dallas Cowboys (5-4) at Washington Redskins (3-6) +7.5
Dallas is riding a wave of momentum. The Redskins are riding a wave of mutilation.
The score: Dallas 34 Washington 17
The pick: Dallas -7.5
Carolina Panthers (2-7) at Detroit Lions (6-3) -6.5
Everyone seems to have figured Carolina out. The Lions beat themselves last week against the Bears. The Lions, at home, with their bad week out of the way, to right the ship.
The score: Carolina 20 Detroit 30
The pick: Detroit -6.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) at Green Bay Packers (9-0) -14.5
Are you going to argue with this one? I'm not. Green Bay at home against a team spiraling downwards.
The score: Tampa 17 Green Bay 34
The pick: Green Bay -14.5
Oakland Raiders (5-4) at Minnesota Vikings (2-7) -1.5
The Raiders have enough to handle the Vikings, who are basically in re-building mode.
The score: Oakland 24 Minnesota 20
The Pick: Oakland -1.5
Seattle Seahawks (3-6) at St. Louis Rams (2-7) -2.5
In case nobody has noticed, St Louis are starting to put their pieces back together. Don't read too much into the Hawks win against the Ravens, Seattle are a better team at home.
The score: St Louis 28 Seattle 20
The pick: St Louis -2.5
Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-1) -9.5
San Francisco are not built to blow teams out. Arizona can keep this relatively close. The 'Cards are riding a nice two game winning streak and can easily stay within 10 points against the 49ers. I am not drinking the Kool aid, I can't wait to bet against Alex Smith in the playoffs.
The score: Arizona 25 San Francisco 27
The pick: Arizona +9.5
Tennessee Titans (5-4) at Atlanta Falcons (5-4) -6.5
The Falcons, at home, need this one, and probably have too much talent for the Titans. Isn't it odd to see the Titans ranked dead last, 32nd , rushing the pigskin? The Titans are competitive however, and those are too many points for a nervous Falcons team.
The score: Tennessee 20 Atlanta 24
The pick: Tennessee +6.5
San Diego Chargers (4-5) at Chicago Bears (6-3) -3.5
That line is so low based on the previous reputation of the Chargers and that alone. This Bears 'D' is legitimate and is frothing at the mouth waiting to pounce on a few of Philip Rivers' lame duck floating passes. In his defense, he has two seconds to chuck-and-duck, that offensive line of the Chargers is awful. Watch for a Bears defensive touchdown at some point in this one.
The score: San Diego 20 Chicago 34
The pick: Chicago -3.5
Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) at New York Giants (6-3) -3.5
So how is that Eagles superbowl pick working out for everyone that went in that direction? Have you seen the Eagles run-in? Patriots, Jets and Cowboys. Nasty. Their season is over, and they know it. Vick gets knocked out early and the Eagles can't keep up, as the Giants smell blood in the water.
The score: Philadelphia 17 New York 30
The pick: New York -3.5
Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) at New England Patriots (6-3) -14.5
Who is Kansas going to suit up for this one? Losing to Miami and Denver is nothing short of putrid. The Patriots can do whatever they want in this one
The score: New England 38 Kansas 13
The pick: New England -14.5
Week one - 11-4
Week two - 12-4
Week three - 6-10
Week four - 10-6
Week five - 7-6
Week six - 4-9
Week seven 6-7
Week eight - 7-6
Week nine - 5-9
Week ten - 7-7