Friday, December 23, 2011

NFL picks: Week sixteen: Happy Christmas


So first things first, a heartfelt Happy Christmas to all my readers. Many thanks for the support, feedback and comments over the year. There is a die-hard handful that, for whatever reason, keep coming back to read, and you folks keep me going. So, you know who you are, a very warm thanks, and a very Happy Christmas to you and yours!

Now, make with the picks funny man!

Running total - 110-102 ATS
Essential NFL pick links

The categories
  • Picks we love category
  • Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
  • Picks we are making but are not wildly enthused about

Cheat- list for ‘’Picks we love category’’
This week picks we love cheat-list: Kansas -0.5, St Louis +15.5, New England -9, New York Jets -2.5, Carolina -7.5, Detroit -2.5, Philadelphia +2.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Denver Broncos (8-6) at Buffalo Bills (5-9) +3.5
Look, this column has been waiting for the Bills to turn it around after a bit of a slump, for weeks now. This week it's happening. Trust us. The Broncos serious deficiencies were unmasked last weekend. The Patriots AFC East brethren can score points like the Patriots. Home field, a whiff of desperation and the Bronco's confidence being less than stellar after last weeks shellacking all point to the value being in the Bills plus the points.
The score: Denver 20 Buffalo 24
The pick: Buffalo +3.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Arizona Cardinals (7-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) -4.5
So, we all know 'Zona are riding a four game win streak with quality wins over Dallas and San Fran in there, right? The Bungles beat St Louis last week, but lost two on the trot the previous weeks. Take the points and run.
The score: Arizona 24 Cincinnati 23
The pick: Arizona +4.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Cleveland Browns (4-10) at Baltimore Ravens (10-4) -13.5
Baltimore up, Baltimore down. This week, Baltimore up.
The score: Cleveland 13 Baltimore 33
The pick: Baltimore -13.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) at Tennessee Titans (7-7) -7.5
Tennessee needs to switch at QB. Everyone bar the Titans coaching staff can see it. The Jags can hang close in this slug fest.
The score: Jacksonville 20 Tennessee 23
The pick: Jacksonville +7.5

Picks we love category
Oakland Raiders (7-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-8) -0.5
The Chiefs played real hard for Romeo Crennel last week, and boy did it pay off. Lost in the drama of beating Green Bay was the fact Kyle Orton played great, throwing for 300 yards. The reeling Raiders arrive in town at exactly the wrong time for them.
The score: Oakland 20 Kansas 24
The pick: Kansas -0.5

Picks we love category
St. Louis Rams (2-12) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) -15.5
Charlie Batch? Yikes.
The score: St Louis 20 Pittsburgh 23
The pick: St Louis +15.5

Picks we love category
Miami Dolphins (5-9) at New England Patriots (11-3) -9
Miami a pretty weak 24th against the pass. They can expect to be at least 25th after this afternoon.
The score: Miami 13 New England 35
The pick: New England -9

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Minnesota Vikings (2-12) at Washington Redskins (5-9) -6.5
Six horrible losses in a row for the Vikes, the Skins the only option here.
The score: Minnesota 17 Washington 27
The pick: Washington -6.5

Picks we love category
New York Giants (7-7) at New York Jets (8-6) -2.5
I want to back against the Jets. So bad. However, you just can't look past the Giants putrid form. Horrendous. The Jets should win this going away.
The score: New York Giants 17 New York Jets 33
The pick: New York Jets -2.5

Picks we love category
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10) at Carolina Panthers (5-9) -7.5
Tampa about to lose their ninth in a row.
The score: Tampa 16 Carolina 35
The pick: Carolina -7.5

Picks we love category
San Diego Chargers (7-7) at Detroit Lions (9-5) -2.5
Detroit's opportunistic defense can send Rivers spiraling back into his early season pick-six form.
The score: San Diego 24 Detroit 30
The pick: Detroit -2.5

Picks we love category
Philadelphia Eagles (6-8) at Dallas Cowboys (8-6) -2.5
Dallas has issues, issues serious enough not to be papered over by last weeks win over Tampa. Everyone is beating Tampa. Dallas's two losses before that raise serious alarm bells, going into a game against the rejuvenated Eagles. Could be a classic.
The score: Philadelphia 35 Dallas 33
The pick: Philadelphia +2.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
San Francisco 49ers (11-3) at Seattle Seahawks (7-7) +2.5
So, we're all aware Seattle have won three in a row? Time to show them some love. Particularly at home, against a team on a short week.
The score: San Francisco 17 Seattle 20
The pick: Seattle +2.5

Picks we don’t love, but, we certainly like, as it were, category
Chicago Bears (7-7) at Green Bay Packers (13-1) -12.5
No Cutler? No Forte? No chance.
The score: Chicago 13 Green Bay 43
The pick: Green Bay -12.5

Picks we are making but are not wildly enthused about
Atlanta Falcons (9-5) at New Orleans Saints (11-3) -6.5
The Saints are scoring points to beat the band, however they are also conceding plenty. The Falcons need this bad. Real bad. Just a hunch, but the Falcons are the shock of the week.
The score: Atlanta 33 New Orleans 30
The pick: Atlanta +6.5



Previous weeks
Week one - 11-4Week two - 12-4
Week three - 6-10
Week four - 10-6
Week five - 7-6
Week six - 4-9
Week seven 6-7
Week eight - 7-6
Week nine - 5-9
Week ten - 7-7
Week eleven - 6-7
Week twelve - 8-7
Week thirteen -5-10
Week 14 - 9-6
Week 15 - 7-7

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